GBP/USD advanced to multi-week highs, leaving the pound up meaningfully in August as global rate expectations shifted.
Softer US inflation and labour data increased the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, weighing on the dollar, while a stronger-than-expected UK GDP print prompted investors to trim aggressive BoE easing bets for the remainder of 2025.
Traders also cited supportive risk sentiment and a modest uptick in gilt yields as factors underpinning sterling.
For UK importers, a firmer currency eases near-term cost pressures, while for exporters it can dent competitiveness, particularly in price-sensitive markets.
For households, a stronger pound can dampen pass-through inflation via energy and goods, helping the BoE’s disinflation effort at the margin.
Foreign-exchange strategists caution that sterling’s path will hinge on incoming UK inflation and wage data, which remain volatile, and on how the MPC frames risks after its narrow August cut.
With markets still discounting another 25bp reduction by early 2026, any upside surprises on prices could extend sterling’s gains, while a negative growth shock or dovish guidance would likely reverse them.
In the meantime, volatility around major geopolitics-linked headlines could inject swings into GBP crosses.
2025-08-20 18:39:32
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2025-08-20 18:39:32
A US lawmaker’s call for a probe into Standard Chartered pressured London-listed financials late in the week.
2025-08-20 18:39:32
The FTSE 100 briefly set a fresh intraday high on Friday and looked set for weekly gains, even as defence stocks lagged.
2025-08-20 18:39:32
London’s blue-chip index set a record close as defence and financial stocks advanced after UK growth surprised on the upside.
2025-08-20 18:39:32
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2025-08-20 18:39:32
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2025-08-20 18:39:32
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2025-08-20 18:39:32
FX markets eyed UK jobs and pay data after the BoE’s split cut, with sterling consolidating recent gains.
2025-08-20 18:39:32
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2025-08-20 18:39:32
BoE reduces rates as UK inflation spikes to 3.5%, signaling confidence in falling prices ahead.
2025-08-20 18:39:32
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2025-08-20 18:39:32
The Department for Work and Pensions confirms the £150 Warm Home Discount scheme will expand to include Universal Credit claimants from this winter.
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The Liberal Democrats warn that an estimated 1.3 million people will pay an additional £285 a year in a 'stealth tax' if the chancellor freezes income tax thresholds.
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